Critic Raises Questions over Crash and Death Rates of Cirrus Aircraft In “Dead Pilots Don’t Lie”--Surprising Fatality Safety Analysis of Cirrus “Parachute” Planes vs. Cessna Small Planes

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Posted by Rick ShapiroMay 06, 2009 8:00 AM

I just returned from the Buffalo, NY funeral of my good friend, Michael Doran, a successful personal injury lawyer from Buffalo, New York, who last week died in a Cirrus SR20 plane he was piloting, that crashed just after take-off near Cleveland. Michael, age 51, of Doran & Murphy law firm was an avid pilot and had recently purchased a Cirrus aircraft, the new breed of small plane which features safety parachute technology. Michael and a young promising attorney named Mathew J. Shnirel who had recently joined his law firm had just taken off from a small airport near Cleveland when (apparent) engine trouble forced him to immediately circle back toward the airport, before the plane crashed just outside a residential area according to news reports-it appears Mike purposefully and heroically barely cleared a residential area, crashing beside a church.

Was it mechanical failure? Why couldn't Michael have deployed the parachute-was the altitude and speed too low or did an engine failure prevent parachute deployment? Even my law partner, Jim Lewis, himself a pilot of small planes who blogs on aircraft accidents, did not have any answers though we all suspect engine failure. Following the emotional funeral and moving eulogies by family and friends, I still was looking for answers to difficult questions on my return home. Also, I recalled Michael telling me (we snow skied together) that he bought the Cirrus aircraft partly because of the safety parachute feature and I knew he was a safe pilot just from him explaining how very careful he was with weather conditions before ever flying his small plane. As of the drafting of this article, there has been no NTSB preliminary accident report, but this article deals with safety issues of the Cirrus and its main competitor, the Cessna aircraft, two of the most commonly piloted small planes. Note: I am not a pilot, but this article mainly deals with safety statistics surrounding popular small aircraft.

Cirrus aircraft are equipped with proprietary technology which can employ a special parachute and Cirrus planes also have an anti--spin feature incorporated in the wing design that is marketed as a feature that can prevent the plane from going into a deadly spin potentially saving the life of those on a Cirrus plane. As a prolific U.S. inventor myself, there is no question that Cirrus should be applauded for bringing the parachute safety feature to the small aircraft market. No other small aircraft has this safety feature. However, there are very troubling statistics relating to the Cirrus aircraft crash and death rates for the just 10 years since the Cirrus have been in use.

It’s been over a decade now since Cessna resumed small airplane production in 1997 and Cirrus delivered the first SR20 composite body plane in 1999. Together by year-end 2008, both companies delivered nearly 13,000 new aircraft, accumulating over 12 million hours flown.

Cessna aircraft are one of the most popular competitors to Cirrus planes, especially since the late 1990s. Cirrus planes go faster and feature proprietary parachute and anti-spin technology, Cessna’s metal body aircraft cost less generally. If one compares the government statistics relating to safety of the Cessna versus the Cirrus since the late 1990s, the rates show that the Cirrus aircraft has been in 2.8 times more crash deaths than the Cessna, per aircraft, per hour flown, according a long analysis called “Dead Pilots Don’t Lie” by Stephen Wilson on his aircraft/piloting blog.

Wilson is a mechanic, pilot, and operates a Cessna aircraft sales business and it is no a secret that he favors the Cessna aircraft and the Cessna safety record over the Cirrus's safety record hands down-and essentially backs up his claims on his aviation blog that he has authored since at least 2002. He is an aircraft mechanic, aircraft owner, and flight instructor; a full-time aircraft professional in the single engine aircraft business for 23 years and also was an NTSB-trained Air Safety Investigator, who represented the Cessna Aircraft Company in field accident investigations. NO question he comes to the discussion with a bias, but he may have good reason to be biased. According to his analysis of NTSB records, although always equipped with an emergency parachute, Cirrus occupants were killed three times more frequently than those in Cessna planes with no parachutes to save them. The data contained in one hundred forty-one NTSB reports to date confirm what Wilson shows in tables on his website blog, and some are shown below.

A look at some of the key statistics according to Wilson from a review of the pertinent NTSB records:

Cessna (Single Engines Mfg 1997 and Newer vs. Cirrus)

The Serious Accident Tally

1997-2009

Total Serious
Accidents

Fatalities

Cirrus

59

97

New-Production Cessna
(Skylanes and Stationairs Only)

36

53

1997-2009

Total fleet hours

Hours Flown
per Serious Accident

Hours Flown
per Death

Cirrus

2,650,000

44,900

27,300

New-Production Cessna
(Skylanes and Stationairs Only)

3,590,000

99,700

67,700

Wilson's charts indicate that serious accidents occurred 2.2 times more frequently in Cirrus aircraft than in Cessna’s. 2.5 times as many people were killed in Cirrus’s than in Cessna’s given the same number of hours flown-basically an apples to apples comparison.

He also took a look back from the date of accident in either aircraft in that timeframe to analyze safety statistics in a different way as follows:

Comparing Total Hours on Aircraft at the Accident Site
Consider how many hours (total aircraft time) accident aircraft accumulated from date of manufacture until the day they crashed. The NTSB recorded aircraft total time on 41 Cirrus and 72 Cessna accident investigations where there was serious injury or death in the last 10 years.

Hours on Accident Aircraft before the Serious Accident Occurred

1997-2009

Number Reports That
NTSB Reported Total Time

Hours Flown

Number of Fatalities

Average Aircraft Total Time
at the Accident

Number of Aircraft Hours
per Fatality

Cirrus

41 reports

17,835

61

435

292

Cessna

72 reports

76,680

95

1,065

807

Cirrus serious accidents were 2.8 times more fatal than Cessna in the same number of fateful hours flown, Wilson says, based on the NTSB statistics. To see the underlying statistics, click here:

Cirrus NTSB Serious Accident Reports
Cessna (Single Engines Mfg 1997 and Newer) NTSB Serious Accident Reports

As an injury lawyer representing victims of injury, I don't have any personal bias between Cirrus and Cessna airplanes, but I have a strong interest in personal injury/wrongful death safety in the United States, whether it be in the workplace or in airplanes-and my good friend died piloting a Cirrus. It is striking that the aircraft with the most advanced safety features (parachute and anti-spin technology), has a clearly higher rate of serious accidents or death per hour flown, compared to a more standard aircraft such as the Cessna. What is causing this as it seems counter-intuitive? Could Cirrus argue that “inexperienced” pilots fly the Cirrus vs. the Cessna? Doubtful this would skew the statistics so violently.

As of March 2009, there were 18 reported deployments of a Cirrus parachutes with at least 30 survivors. BRS, the parachute manufacturer for the Cirrus, has been installing parachutes on small ultralight and experimental planes since 1983. To date, the company claims 228 “lives saved” (assuming the plane’s occupants would have suffered death in the event). A three-year-old report from BRS shows that nearly half the “lives saved” in the most recent 50 incidents were Cirrus occupants. Obviously, there is merit to the safety feature of the parachute, but something is going on with the overall control issues on the Cirrus to make the fatality statistics so skewed in favor of the Cessna aircraft record over the last ten years.

More comparison details from Wilson: in a Cirrus, the passenger must shut off power to the engine, and follow the instructions on the emergency placard to activate the parachute. A passenger in a Cessna can also shut off power by pulling a big red knob, then turning the elevator trim wheel full up to attain best glide speed. With a Cessna, there's remains an opportunity to steer the plane to avoid injury to people on the ground as much as possible. With over 20 knots greater stalling speed, greater landing distance required and other factors, the Cirrus may be less crashworthy than the Cessna, according to pilot Wilson (not covered in this analysis). All of this is food for thought if you are pilot ready to either purchase one of these aircraft, or planning to just fly one regularly. Sometimes a safety improvement must be considered with all other available safety data. In the Cirrus crash that killed my comrade, I do not know the answers yet. And, unfortunately, none of this analysis will bring my friend and pilot Mike Doran back. God bless him, his family and the Schnirel family.

Note: If you have an important safety comment or thought on these issues, please write a comment on my blog!

May 10, 2009 Update Alert: National News Desk Reporter Jane Akre, with Lisa Brown did a national followup story on the Cirrus safety debate. Click here to read "Cirrus Fatalities Have Critics Questioning Safety."

About the Editors: Shapiro, Cooper, Lewis & Appleton personal injury law firm (VA-NC law offices ) edits the injury law blogs Virginia Beach Injuryboard, Norfolk Injuryboard, as well as the Northeast North Carolina Injuryboard as a pro bono service to consumers. Lawyers licensed in: VA, NC, SC, WV, DC, KY, who handle car, truck, railroad, aviation and medical negligence cases and more.

14 Comments

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Mr. Kelly A Brannen
Posted by Mr. Kelly A Brannen
May 06, 2009 9:33 AM

I liked the blog and am interested in the accident rates between Cessna and Cirrus. I recently sold a 2006 T182T and am purchasing a 2003 Cirrus. I read Mr. Taylors blog at the request of a Cessan dealer friend of mine. He wanted me to buy a Cessna 400 from him. I have to agree with some of the comments to Mr. Taylor at the end of his blog. I do not think you can just dismiss the flights where the pilot pulled the chute as Mr. Taylor does which helps his case. Additionally I looked at the NTSB summaries and for what ever reason, the Cirrus fatel accident planes carried more people on average also affecting the stats. I liked my 182 for short flights, the switch to the Cirrus is for Cross Country capability. While I am sure that I will recieve howls from 182 fans, it was just too slow for me and too range limited. The Cirrus is better on both counts. The reason I bring this up is the use of the planes may be different which may also make a difference. Flying in a local area that you know well is very different from flying cross country to an airport you have never seen.

If you read the NTSB reports it is clear that like most GA accidents pilot error was the cause. Controlled flight into terrain, landing short, etc. Few appear to be plane related and the ones that were, were not airframe related, but engine related. Lastly, I would be interested in a direct comparison to the Cessna 400 since it seems to be much closer to the Cirrus.

At the end of the day I think more training in all planes is required. That drives up the cost of owning a plane and would surely draw objection from many pilots. Consider that most days that I flew this winter I was the only pilot flying from my airport. How current could the rest of the pilots that are summer pilots be.

By the way I live in Buffalo, I did not know your friend, but I hated to see the news and I feel awful for both families and friends like yourself. Buffalo has had a bad year for both GA and Commercial Accidents (The crash of the Contintental flight.) Let's hope that both accident rates change this year and forever more.

I also hope that my comments are not looked back on in the future as being ironic. My only concern in flying has been the piston engine. If my pocket book can ever afford a turbine engine, I am moving up immediately. While engine failures are infrequent it is my biggest fear when flying.

Stephen Richey
Posted by Stephen Richey
May 06, 2009 11:30 AM

First of all, I would like to pass along my condolences for the loss of your friend. I lost several friends last year in crashes and it is not an easy thing to deal with.

I conduct aviation safety research for Saginaw Valley State University looking at injury patterns stemming from aircraft crashes and believe you hit the nail on the head with many of your comments, but you missed a couple of other issues playing a major role here- the structural integrity of the cockpit, the excessive tendency for post crash fire and the marketing practices presenting the Cirrus line as great training aircraft when crash after crash have revealed that they are a handful to fly even with an experienced pilot at the controls. The psychological "comfort margin" provided by all the bells and whistles geared towards safety may also play a role by putting pilots in a mindset that they can push their luck (which general aviation pilots already have a nasty tendency to do) and the aircraft has an out in the form of the ballistic recovery system (BRS; the proprietary name for the parachute system), but this is not my area of expertise and just a hypothesis that I have as a result of reading over crashes and talking to Cirrus pilots.

The main problem that leads to the survival disadvantage in the fact that the composite design- that a Cirrus factory representative described as "21st century technology as opposed to the 19th century metals used in Cessnas and Pipers" (foregoing the fact that the person who spoke those words apparently did not bother to do any research before opening their mouths)- which the company likes to tote as making the aircraft safer because composite is "stronger than steel, pound for pound". So are some aluminum alloys, titanium and many other metals that tend to bend when force is applied rather the catastrophic shattering that is seen with composites used in aircraft. If the structure of the aircraft is compromised, the occupants are less likely to be able to walk, crawl or be carried from the wreckage in anything but body bags.

This structural integrity issue is also tied into the second issue that Cirrus has failed to address in its design- the tendency of the aircraft to burn like a Styrofoam cup full of gasoline in anything but a hard landing, water landing or a situation where the aircraft has run out of fuel prior to impact. The best example I can compare this to that most people are well aware of is the Pinto of the 1970s which has become a classic example of what happens when engineers do not think the design all the way through. Now imagine if the Pinto had a big model rocket attached to the chassis just above the fuel tank. That is effectively the situation in the Cirrus series with the BRS having the tendency to deploy on impact ("like something out of a Wile E. Coyote cartoon" to quote one NTSB investigator I spoke with) and providing an excellent ignition source for any spilled fuel.

The final issue that needs to be touched on here is the marketing of Cirrus aircraft as trainers. In doing so, Cirrus failed to learn from the mistakes of Beech Aircraft (now Raytheon Beech) in the 1960s when the V-tail Bonanza became known as the "scissor-tailed doctor killer" because of the fact that significant numbers were sold to doctors, lawyers, and other professionals with large amounts of disposable income. That reads a lot like the sales records for Cirrus doesn't it? The fact that some aviation psychologists question whether certain personality types that are favored in highly competitive fields (medicine, law, dentistry, etc) may actually be of detriment when they are found in pilots because of a possible decreased willingness to admit when they are in over their heads and a possible tendency to overestimate their own abilities.

Thank you for your outstanding article on a subject very close to my own interests. If I can ever be of service to you or any of your colleagues, please feel free to contact me.

Rick Shapiro
Posted by Rick Shapiro
May 06, 2009 12:40 PM

Dear Stephen and Kelly:
Thanks for your thoughtful comments on the cirrus vs. Cessna safety and death statistics.
Rick Shapiro

Charles LaBow
Posted by Charles LaBow
May 06, 2009 1:07 PM

You missed an important point in tabulating your accident statistics. You forgot to take into account the occupation and educational levels of the pilots.

I have a degree in aviation and have worked as a commercial pilot for 41 years. In that time, I have reviewed hundreds of accident reviews resulting in pilot deaths and one factor tends to skew the totals. Doctors and lawyers tend to be involved in fatal aircraft accidents more than any other work group.

The Cirrus line of aircraft are relatively high performance. They may be small, but their composite fuselages allow for very precise aerodynamic characteristics, something that cannot be easily done in all metal airplanes. High performance aircraft tend to be very costly, so the people that can afford them are usually those in fields with high income potential. Doctors and lawyers tend to be highly educated, highly "driven" so called "Type A" personalities. Many have egos that cause them to think, "I'm pretty smart and get things the first time they're presented, so I don't need to waste my time on repetitive training." These individuals also tend to maintain very tight schedules with no room for back-up, and as a result make errors in judgment regarding weather issues, "Yeah, it's pretty bad out there, but I've got to get to this next meeting, I'm pretty sure I can make it." There's an old adage that states, "Fly on a crummy day, be buried on a sunny day."

You don't tend to see many crashes of professionally flown, corporate aircraft. (I'm not speaking of company aircraft flown by the owner of the company, as many small companies do.)
Why do corporate pilots have a safety record nearly indentical to the airlines? Simple, repetitive training. As people, they are no different than any other pilot or doctor or lawyer, but their job is to safely get the airplane from point A to point B. They receive comprehensive training in each type of aircraft the fly at least every six months. This training usually centers around what to do in a worst case scenario, and it's practiced until it becomes second nature. The second big factor is "just fly the airplane." Your there as a pilot to carry your passengers safely to their destination. Your mind isn't filled with outside influences like, "I'm going to be late for this meeting, my patient/client is depending on me, if I don't win this case, I won't be offered the partnership," etc.

Just because your smart, well educated and fairly well off doesn't automatically make you a good pilot. The "Oh, that won't happen to me" attitude is normal when your a teenager, but aviation can be an "equal opportunity killer." Don't ever lull yourself into believing that because you are good at what you do for a living you'll also be a good pilot, because the instant you let your guard down, that airplane will take you for a ride you don't really want to be on!

Rick Shapiro
Posted by Rick Shapiro
May 06, 2009 1:38 PM

Cirrus vs. Cessna aircraft safety article:
Chuck: Interesting points about lawyer and doctor pilots. Mike Doran had 1500 hours in, though about a year with the Cirrus. He was a very careful guy and there are no definite indications weather played a role, but I do understand your points and appreciate them.
Rick Shapiro

Mike Massey
Posted by Mike Massey
May 08, 2009 2:39 PM

Every time a pilot dies in a tragic accident, his family and friends defend his/her judgement and ability. It could not possibly have been his/her fault.
90% of the time the NTSB comes to the same conclusion. Pilot error. Bad Judgement.
Of course that usually does not make personal injury attorneys any money when sueing manufacturers.
So I am sure that theory would not apply here.
As a 2300 hour instrument rated pilot with experience in Cirrus as well as about 30 other aircraft, I believe pilots are taking risks that they should not take because of the parachute.
Trials related to aircraft and specialized industrial accidents should require 70% or more of the jurists be experienced in that field. It is to easy for a good salesman to misrepresent the facts. Sorry, I ment to say "great persuader" not salesman.

Paul
Posted by Paul
May 10, 2009 1:27 AM

According to the book "The Killing Zone - Why Pilots Die" the first 50 hours of a pilot's flying career are the safest. He is almost always with an instructor in closely supervised training. The number one aircraft used for such training is the Cessna 172. The statistics you cite include the 172 and hence the data is very distorted. Admittedly the 182 is one of the safest non-trainer aircraft in all of general aviation. Even Cirrus' own website, More ... , shows it to have better safety statistics in terms of fatal accidents as a percentage of fleet size. However, the planes closest to the Cirrus, the Beech 36 and Cessna 350/400, don't fair as well. Safety tracks surprising well with cruise speed and stall speed. I find it disappointing that the Cirrus safety record isn't dramatically better than the rest of GA. However, it is unfair to then demonize Cirrus when their record is no worse than the GA average either.

Matt
Posted by Matt
May 22, 2009 9:45 AM

Weather conditions at CGF taken at 1616 were: Wind 080 degrees at 8 knots; visibility 4 miles in light rain and mist; overcast clouds at 200 feet agl; temperature 7 degrees Celsius; dew point 6 degrees Celsius; and altimeter 30.38 inches of mercury.

These conditions severely limit options in the event that anything goes wrong. Single engine operations for an amateur pilot into 200' overcast is taking a huge chance. PIC Doran had to have known the risk he was taking. Unfortunately, Shnirel became part of the tragedy and he probably wasn't in a position to question the judgement of his boss. I would think that Shnirel's family has a lot of potential with a wrongful death case against Doran's estate. Ironic

Rick Shapiro
Posted by Rick Shapiro
May 29, 2009 9:20 PM

Matt:
Thanks for your opinions..I saw the preliminary report and the NTSB has not stated anything material to the cause yet.
Rick

Chuck C
Posted by Chuck C
June 15, 2009 2:02 PM

I'm very sorry for the loss of your friend.
I am a flight instructor who is trained to instruct in Cirrus aircraft and many others. I see many types of pilots in the course of a year. Good weather only pilots ( VFR) all weather pilots (IFR) and I have a problem with our general aviation system which I feel needs a change. Profesionally flown aircraft for hire (FAR 121 or 135) are required to be flight and knowledge checked every six months. The general aviation pilots, including the all weather pilots, are not required to have a flight check but every two years. With the changes in tech. and regs every year this accident rate will continue or increase. These pilots are up in the poor weather with the airline pilots with no recurrent checks, that is wrong. The amount of time a pilot has does not reflect his ablity to handle issues unless the pilot has a continuing education and flight check as the pro's do. I would like to see at least a annual flight check for all weather ( IFR ) pilots to practice emergencies in poor weather. Flying in low visability and low overcasts in rain is not like riding a bike, it must be practiced and practiced in good weather.
The pro's fly many days a week, many days in low weather, the general aviation pilot may fly in low weather a few times a year. It takes a much higher skill set to fly in poor weather and work a problem at the same time.
I see this first hand every week.
The figures need to be put into perspective with type of weather being flown. That fact can be a challenge.

Bruce Case
Posted by Bruce Case
June 23, 2009 11:40 PM

My brother was just killed while flying his Cirrus during what appeared to be a relatively normal landing at Crystal airport in Minneapolis. (June 16, 2009) While relatively low time he had completed significant and recent flight training in the airplane. The point that most people seem to miss about the Cirrus is that the parachute was deemed necessary by the FAA during the certfication process because the airplane won't recover from a spin. They turned a vice into a marketing feature. I fly tail draggers and have flown a Cirrus and find it to be a very twitchy airplane especially in terms of pitch sensitivity. Most Cirrus pilots turn on the autopilot as soon as possible because of the airplanes flight charactistics. We may never know exactly the cause of my brothers death but I have always felt the airplane has marginal flight characteristics.

Paul Platt
Posted by Paul Platt
June 24, 2009 10:58 PM

Bruce,

The SR22 WILL recover form a spin and this was demonstrated for European certification. Since the chute was being included anyway, the SR22 was certified in the US using ELOS (equivalent level of safety) provision. The SR22 is indeed quick in pitch but I guess how you feel about that is a personal thing. I find it great for VFR fun flying but IFR off the autopilot requires careful trimming. I agree that most Cirrus pilots are heavy autopilot users. Every Cirrus has an autopilot that is great compared to what was available pre-1998 in most planes.

I am sorry about the loss of your brother but spin recovery is a non issue in such a low level accident. Relative to landing accidents, the SR22 is heavier than a 172 trainer (3400 lbs. vs. 2450) and the stall speed is higher (60 vs. 40 kts). If the planes are at max gross weight then the SR22 is carrying 3.12 times the kinetic energy. That is a huge difference and must be respected. The use of steering by differential braking is also a factor. I'm not saying there aren't other factors. I am saying that it is easier to lose control of a heavy, fast plane be it SR22, Bonanza or some other. Since you fly a tail dragger, you are well aware that different skills are needed for different planes. Porpoising in the SR22 due to carrying excess speed over the threshold can require adjustment to handle if transitioning from something like a 172. Otherwise PIO can result. Again, this is a similar issue to ones found on other planes of this weight-speed class and not Cirrus specific.

Rick ShapiroInjuryBoard Attorney Member
Posted by Rick Shapiro
June 24, 2009 11:25 PM

Bruce: I sent you a private comment and my condolences. I tried to author this post in a fair way to Cirrus, as I respect their efforts to build and sell a safe airplane with a parachute. I am sure the company is paying close attention to the comments on this article too. However, the rate of pilot deaths is the clarion call to Cirrus to improve training and safety of this airplane. Cirrus should immediately brainstorm methods to re-think pilot training and build in some type incentive for new or used purchasers to have flight simulation and/or special training. You can build a great aircraft but you can not run from the death stats per hour flown either.

Paul Platt
Posted by Paul Platt
June 25, 2009 8:05 AM

Rick,

I guess no one will be happy until Cirrus is put under and the only planes available are 40 year old planes covered under GARA. The Hill City award proves that. That award alone will add something like $30K per plane if covered by one year of sales. I use that case as an example of poor decision making when I teach a class on critical decision making for pilots. The thing people can't get through there heads is that the statistics are that Cirrus is like any other high performance single when it comes to safety stats. I wish it was better but it isn't. It is not as safe as a trainer like a 172. However, it isn't statistically worse than a Bonanza or a Mooney or a C210 either. Maybe it is the math major in me that gets annoyed at headlines rather than hard data driving what people perceive as "facts." This is a plane that is being flown on a LOT of long missions with the resulting accident rate. If a plane is flown more on more challenging missions then there are more accidents.

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